November 30, 2018 By Fabian Odhiambo
Cardiff City v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Last Five Meetings: W3 D0 L2
Fab Says: It’s been five matches since Wolves last won and suffice to say the level of confidence there isn’t the highest. Cardiff on the other hand have managed two wins in that period, both coming at home. That home advantage just might give them the slightest of edges in this encounter.
Bobo Says: Away wins against fellow promoted sides are difficult to come by. No promoted team has won away to a fellow promoted team in the last 21 fixtures and it does not seem like Wolves are in a position to do this. Cardiff are not the best team in the league but they have the home and historical advantage here.
Crystal Palace v Burnley
Last Five Meetings: W2 D0 L3
Fab Says: Palace have played 8 matches without tasting victory while it’s 6 for their opponents, Burnley. Quite some grim reading, that. For some reason I feel The Eagles are closer to a win more than the Clarets and they just might finally get it on Saturday.
Bobo Says: It is hard to believe that Palace have gone for a long time without a win. Burnley will come into this not really any better but they will go to London fancying their chances to come away with at least a point and I believe that spoils will be shared.
Huddersfield Town v Brighton & Hove Albion
Last Five Meetings: W2 D1 L2
Fab Says: Huddersfield are unbeaten in their last three games, while Brighton are winless in the same duration. I’m thinking The Terriers should be building on their impressive form and be able to eke out even the narrowest of wins.
Bobo Says: Huddersfield are at home and they are on the ascendancy, for now at least. I believe that this will continue as Brighton are not really in the greatest of form. If Huddersfield are well organized, then this is a match they will win with ease.
Leicester City v Watford
Last Five Meetings: W3 D0 L2
Fab Says: Neither side is in particularly great form coming into this fixture at the King Power. The last four encounters in this fixture have been won by the home side and I expect this trend to continue.
Bobo Says: Leicester at home against Watford is almost a guaranteed three points for them. They have won the last four, scoring eight and conceding one in the process. I think they have the edge in this and should probably get the win.
Manchester City v Bournemouth
Last Five Meetings: W5 D0 L0
Fab Says: It’s a good thing that Man City are in Champions League football because there they at least get to find decent enough opponents to give them a scare. In the league it’s a different story as the champions are running roughshod over whoever crosses their paths. So yeah, status quo remains unchallenged in this one.
Bobo Says: One sided fixture. It is boring predicting Manchester City matches as the question is, “by how much will they win?” Bournemouth have been really good this season but they have the sort of defensive frailties that The Citizens will take advantage of.
Newcastle United v West Ham United
Last Five Meetings: W4 D0 L1
Fab Says: The Magpies are on quite some purple patch. They have collected ten points from a possible twelve and it seems like they’ll be eating again. And why not? The Hammers aren’t finding those wins coming easy and it well could be a tough afternoon for them at a charged St. James’ Park.
Bobo Says: Newcastle are in good form and they have a good record against West Ham having won the last three meetings. I think they will continue with this good run. Benitez seems to have found a solution to their early season troubles. The Hammers on the other hand seem to have disappeared into oblivion with their start-stop performances.
Southampton v Manchester United
Last Five Meetings: W0 D2 L3
Fab Says: United aren’t finding a lot of joy in front of goal, but thankfully for them they’re up against a Saints side not finding any joy, anywhere. United will probably nick in a last gasp offside handball winner that will definitely send Mark Hughes mad.
Bobo Says: Southampton will have to go back to 2003 to find the last time they won against the Red Devils. The Saints haven’t won at home in the last six matches and have lost more points from winning positions that any other team this season. Manchester United should expect all three points. However, since Jose took over Manchester United, the only team with more 0-0 draws than Red Devils is Saints. I think the points will be shared just to continue with the theme.
Chelsea v Fulham
Last Five Meetings: W3 D2 L0
Fab Says: Chelsea’s blue bubble was finally burst by an energetic and purposeful display by Spurs last weekend and now they have to start another winning run from scratch. Problem is that they’re up against a revitalized Fulham in another London derby. Oh, and what’s more, Claudio Ranieri returns to his former stomping ground, just to add the spice. Should be lit, and probably a draw.
Bobo Says: Former Chelsea managers don’t return to Stamford Bridge and win. In 13 attempts, there have been 5 draws and 8 losses for the visiting managers. Ranieri takes charge of a Fulham team that can’t defend and that is over reliant on Alexandar Mitrovic who has won them 7 points. However, Chelsea could be deflated after they were outclassed by Tottenham and Fulham will go there with the confidence that they can get something out of the derby.
Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur
Last Five Meetings: W1 D2 L2
Fab Says: Arsenal used to be the dominant force in this that really is THE London Derby but that dominance has of late been diluted somewhat. In the last 10 North London Derby matches, both teams have won thrice and drawn the rest, so much for the perceived shift of power in Spurs’ favour. It will be Unai Emery’s first NLD fixture and he will no doubt have transmitted his effervescent passion to the players. With Spurs having exerted themselves in the two big wins against Chelsea and Inter, maybe Arsenal have a route towards re-establishing their dominance.
Bobo Says: This is an important match for Unai Emery. Despite calls for fans to give him time, it is expected that he will do better against the top six teams. Tottenham will be on a high after winning two huge matches and they have made their statement. Arsenal will have to dig deep for this and I believe that they will.
Liverpool v Everton
Last Four Meetings: W3 D2 L0
Fabian Says: Liverpool don’t lose a lot in this Merseyside Derby. Indeed, it is 8 years since that last happened. That’s a pretty damning indictment of Everton’s standing in this fixture – you just cannot go that long without derby bragging rights. Can they change that this Sunday? Nope. I reckon they’ll make it more of a contest but just fall short.
Bobo Says: The Reds haven’t lost in the last 17 against The Toffees with 8 wins and 9 draws. Everton haven’t won at Anfield since a 1-0 win in 2009. Marco Silva has a hard task to win the match and I think Liverpool are shook after losing to PSG so Everton can take advantage of the frailties and record a very rare win.
Here’s what our model thinks will happen:
|Huddersfield Town||1||Brighton & Hove Albion||1|
|Newcastle United||1||West Ham United||1|
And now, a recap of MW13:
|Brighton & Hove Albion v Leicester City||1-0||2-1||1-1|
|Everton v Cadiff City||3-1||2-0||1-0|
|Fulham v Southampton||2-1||3-1||3-2|
|Manchester United v Crystal Palace||2-1||2-1||0-0|
|Watford v Liverpool||2-1||3-1||0-3|
|West Ham United v Manchester City||1-3||1-3||0-4|
|Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea||3-2||2-2||3-1|
|Bournemouth v Arsenal||1-2||1-3||1-2|
|Wolverhampton Wanderers v Huddersfield Town||1-0||1-0||0-2|
|Burnley v Newcastle United||1-0||2-0||1-2|
Fab is now firmly in the lead with a 6-point gap, 178-172.